~7.6% of ~5,000 manufactured HS6 categories traded globally
2024 · Source: ITC TradeMap
📈 Progress to Tenfold Growth
Each indicator tracked against its current value, NDP IV target (FY2029/30), and Tenfold Growth target (2040). Bar represents journey from zero to Tenfold target.
On NDP IV targets: #1 (20% of GDP by FY2029/30) is the published NDP IV Manufacturing Programme target (National Planning Authority, NDP IV, Chapter 11 "Manufacturing", §11.4 Programme Results, 2024 — baseline stated there as 16% of GDP in FY2023/24; this dashboard uses UBOS's more recent FY2024/25 actual of 14.5% as the current value instead of NDP IV's own baseline). #3's NDP IV figure (13.5%) is also from that same chapter ("value of exports of manufactured products," FY2023/24 baseline 10.6%) — flagged because a separate section of the same NDP IV document independently cites manufactured goods at 21.4% of total 2023 exports, so the exact basis of the 13.5% target isn't fully unambiguous. #4's current value (2.3%) is also NDP IV's own stated figure. Targets for #2, #5, #6, #7, #8 and #9 (manufacturing's share of tax, credit, industrial parks, FDI, employment and export variety) do not appear anywhere in the NDP IV document; they remain this project's indicative estimates, not official figures, pending MTIC/NPA confirmation.
Figure view changes Manufacturing Value Added (#1) — the one indicator where the denominator (Uganda's GDP) itself grows roughly 10× by the Tenfold horizon, so % progress and $ progress tell different stories. Bars #2–9 don't yet have confirmed absolute NDP IV/Tenfold targets for their own totals (total tax revenue, total exports, etc.), so they show the same percentage progress in both views until those figures are confirmed.
1. Manufacturing Value Added (% of GDP)USD 8.1B / 14.5% → NDP IV USD 31.6B / 20% → Tenfold USD 150.0B / 30%
USD 8.1B / 14.5%
→ USD 31.6B / 20%
→ USD 150.0B / 30% Tenfold
2. Manufacturing Tax Contribution (% of total tax)USD 1.9B / 34% → NDP IV 35% → Tenfold 40%
USD 1.9B / 34%
→ 35%
→ 40% Tenfold
3. Manufactured Exports (% of total exports)USD 2.4B / 12% → NDP IV 13.5% → Tenfold 50%
USD 2.4B / 12%
→ 13.5%
→ 50% Tenfold
4. High-Tech Exports (% of manufactured exports)USD 85M / 2.3% → NDP IV 8% → Tenfold 15%
USD 85M / 2.3%
→ 8%
→ 15% Tenfold
5. Private Sector Credit to Manufacturing (% of total credit)USD 900M / 3.4% → NDP IV 12% → Tenfold 20%
USD 900M / 3.4%
→ 12%
→ 20% Tenfold
6. Establishments in Industrial Parks (% of total)166 / 2.4% → NDP IV 5% → Tenfold 15%
166 / 2.4%
→ 5%
→ 15% Tenfold
7. FDI to Manufacturing (% of total FDI)USD 180M / 5.5% → NDP IV 20% → Tenfold 30%
USD 180M / 5.5%
→ 20%
→ 30% Tenfold
8. Manufacturing Employment (% of total employment)~712,000 / 3.2% → NDP IV 12% → Tenfold 20%
~712,000 / 3.2%
→ 12%
→ 20% Tenfold
9. Variety of Manufactured Exports (% of global HS6 categories)~380 / 7.6% → NDP IV 600 / 12% → Tenfold 1,000 / 20%
~380 / 7.6%
→ 600 / 12%
→ 1,000 / 20% Tenfold
Current (FY2024/25)NDP IV Target (FY2029/30)Tenfold Growth Target (2040)
🗺️ Manufacturing Industry Distribution
~7,011 registered manufacturing establishments · MTIC National Industries Register (Aug 2025) · click a cell to drill in
Spatial Distribution by region, then by district
Sector Distribution by sector (2-digit ISIC), then by sub-sector (4-digit ISIC)
📊 Value Chain Status & 2040 Projections
Current state of each value chain in Uganda, binding constraints, prioritised products, and tenfold-growth projections to 2040.
📍 Uganda Industry Locations
All active and under-construction manufacturing facilities across the 9 priority value chains. Click a chain in the sidebar to filter the map.
Value Chains Legend
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Diagnostic Chapter
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📖 Glossary & Abbreviations
API
Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient — the core chemical compound in a medicine
ATMs
Agriculture
Bagasse
The fibrous residue left after extracting juice from sugarcane — used as a fuel for co-generation
BoU
Bank of Uganda — the central bank; source of trade and private-sector credit statistics
Capacity Utilisation
The share of installed industrial capacity actually being used in production
Downstream
Closer to the final consumer product in a value chain (e.g. rebar fabrication from imported steel)
EAC
East African Community — the regional trade bloc Uganda belongs to
EAF
Electric Arc Furnace — a low-carbon steelmaking process well-suited to Uganda's hydro-powered grid
ERA
Electricity Regulatory Authority — source of electricity consumption/sales data
HS Code
Harmonized System code — the international standard used to classify traded goods (used throughout TradeMap figures)
Import Substitution
Replacing imported goods with domestically manufactured equivalents
