Manufacturing Industry Dashboard | Ministry of Trade, Industry and Cooperatives

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Strategic PlatformTracks the status, performance, and growth potential of Uganda's manufacturing sector.

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Data-Driven InsightsCapacity, investment, employment, exports, and value chain performance in one place.

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Value Chain AnalysisIdentifies opportunities for local sourcing, import substitution, and downstream processing.

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Tenfold Growth StrategyEvidence-based decisions to drive productivity, exports, and job creation.

📊 Manufacturing Industry Key Indicators

Current status (FY2024/25) | Sources: UBOS, URA, BoU, ERA, UIA, ITC TradeMap | ● exact ≈ estimated ○ indicative

1. Manufacturing Value Added ● exact

USD 8.1B

14.5% of GDP (~USD 55.9B total)

2. Manufacturing Growth ● exact

3. Manufacturing Tax Contribution ≈ estimated

Wholesale & Retail 39% · USD 1.65B

Manufacturing 34% · USD 1.94B

Financial & Insurance 15% · USD 0.62B

Info & Communications 9% · USD 0.38B

Public Administration 5% · USD 0.22B

4. Manufactured Exports ≈ estimated

Gold 35% · USD 7.0B

Other (tea/cotton/copper/oil/fish/etc) 31% · USD 6.2B

Coffee 22% · USD 4.4B

Manufactured Goods 12% · USD 2.4B

5. High-Tech Exports ○ indicative

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USD 85M

~3.5% of manufactured exports (USD 2.4B)

Pharmaceuticals (QCIL + others) 75% · USD 64M

Other high-tech 14% · USD 12M

ICT Goods 11% · USD 9.3M

6. Private Sector Credit ≈ estimated

Building & Real EstateUSD 1.35B (25%)

TradeUSD 1.16B (22%)

Personal & HouseholdUSD 1.24B (23%)

ManufacturingUSD 0.92B (17%)

AgricultureUSD 0.73B (14%)

7. Registered Manufacturing Establishments ● exact

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7,011

8. Distribution by Region ● exact

Central (incl. Kampala)77.7%

Western8.1%

Eastern7.7%

Northern4.2%

9. Establishments in Industrial Parks ● exact

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166

~2.4% of 7,011 registered establishments

10. FDI to Manufacturing ≈ estimated

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USD 180M

~5.5% of total FDI (USD 3.30B)

11. Manufacturing Employment ≈ estimated

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~712,000

~3.2% of total employment (~22M)

12. Variety of Manufactured Exports ○ indicative

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~380

distinct HS6 product categories exported

~7.6% of all HS6 categories traded globally (~5,000)

📈 Progress to Tenfold Growth

Each indicator tracked against its current value, NDP IV target (FY2029/30), and Tenfold Growth target (2040). Bar represents journey from zero to Tenfold target.

1. Manufacturing Value Added (% of GDP)USD 7.7B (14.5%) → USD 33.2B (21%) → USD 150.0B (30%)

USD 7.7B / 14.5%

→ USD 33.2B / 21%

→ USD 150.0B / 30%

2. Manufacturing Tax Contribution (% of total tax)USD 1.9B (34%) → NDP IV 35% → Tenfold 40%

USD 1.9B / 34%

35%

→40%

3. Manufactured Exports (% of total exports)USD 2.4B (12%) → NDP IV 35% → Tenfold 50%

USD 2.4B / 12%

→ 35% NDP IV

→ 50% Tenfold

4. High-Tech Exports (% of manufactured exports)USD 85M (~3.5%) → NDP IV 8% → Tenfold 15%

USD 85M / ~3.5%

→ 8% NDP IV

→ 15% Tenfold

5. Private Sector Credit to Manufacturing (% of total credit)USD 487M (~8%) → NDP IV 12% → Tenfold 20%

USD 487M / ~8%

→ 12%

→ 20% Tenfold

6. Establishments in Industrial Parks (% of total)166 (~2.4%) → NDP IV 5% → Tenfold 15%

166 / ~2.4%

→ 5% NDP IV

→ 15% Tenfold

7. FDI to Manufacturing (% of total FDI)USD 180M (~5.5%) → NDP IV 20% → Tenfold 30%

USD 180M / ~5.5%

→ 20% NDP IV

→ 30% Tenfold

8. Manufacturing Employment (% of total employment)~712,000 (~3.2%) → NDP IV 12% → Tenfold 20%

~712,000 / ~3.2%

→ 12% NDP IV

→ 20% Tenfold

9. Variety of Manufactured Exports (% of global HS6 categories)~380 (~7.6%) → NDP IV 600 (12%) → Tenfold 1,000 (20%)

~380 / ~7.6%

→ 600 / 12%

→ 1,000 / 20%

Current (FY2024/25) NDP IV Target (FY2029/30) Tenfold Growth Target (2040)

🗺️ Manufacturing Industry Distribution

~7,011 registered manufacturing establishments · MTIC National Industries Register (Aug 2025) · click a cell to drill in

Spatial Distribution by region, then by district

Sector Distribution by sector (2-digit ISIC), then by sub-sector (4-digit ISIC)

📊 Value Chain Status & 2040 Projections

Current state of each value chain in Uganda, binding constraints, prioritised products, and tenfold-growth projections to 2040.

🕓 Recently Updated

Latest data, chapters, and reviews from the agentic pipeline — newest first.

🚀FeatureADR-011 single-source DB structure + uploader content-hash dedup [skip ci]2026-06-23

🛠️Fixguard renderStatusDetail against null/empty chain status fields2026-06-22

🛠️Fixdefer treemap init to requestAnimationFrame — getBoundingClientRect returns 0 width on inline script execution2026-06-23

🛠️Fixmake Sector Distribution legend clickable in cross-filtered view2026-06-22

🚀Featurelegend always visible and clickable at every treemap drill level2026-06-22

🚀Featurecross-filter Spatial Distribution by individual product (sub-sector)2026-06-22

🚀Featuredrill sector cross-filter down to district level2026-06-22

🚀Featurecross-filter Spatial <-> Sector Distribution treemaps; monochrome icons2026-06-22

📈 Momentum — FY20/21 → FY24/25

Four-year actual change, separate from the 2040 targets above — this answers "is Uganda's industrial base actually moving," not just "how far is left to go."

Growth Rates ● exact

Both rose +3.4 pts — industrial growth is accelerating faster than the wider economy.

Mfg Value Added, real Shs trn ● exact

+18.4% over 4 years — rising every single year, not just a one-off jump.

Share of GDP, current prices ● exact

Share of GDP fell even as real output grew — other sectors (services) are growing faster, not that industry shrank.

Manufactured Exports, USD bn ≈ estimated

+118% — exports more than doubled in four years.

Tax Contribution by Sector, FY24/25 ● exact

Wholesale & Retail39%

Manufacturing34%

Financial & Insurance15%

Info & Communications9%

Public Administration5%

Manufacturing holds the #2 line directly, behind Wholesale & Retail (which is largely VAT on manufactured goods).

Electricity Consumed by Customer Class, FY24/25 ● exact

Industrial customers65%

Non-industrial35%

Up from ~60% industrial share in FY20/21 — industrial demand is absorbing a growing share of the grid.

Private-Sector Credit by Sector, FY24/25 · Bank of Uganda

Building & Real Estate

Shs 3.8trn → 5.0trn

Trade

Shs 2.9trn → 4.3trn

Personal & Household

Shs 3.5trn → 4.6trn

Manufacturing

Shs 2.3trn → 3.4trn

Agriculture

Shs 2.1trn → 2.7trn

Bars show FY24/25 stock; labels show FY20/21 → FY24/25 growth. Manufacturing credit grew faster (+48%) than the sector average.

🏭 The 9 Priority Value Chains — Snapshot

Value Chain	Key Import (2024)	Key Export (2024)	Uganda Position	Top 2040 Target	Priority
Iron & Steel	USD 219.5m flat steel	USD 55.8m rebar	Downstream only	5.5–8 Mtpa demand; domestic flat steel	R1 — Minerals
Copper & Allied Metals	USD 57.7m cable	Negligible	Cable mfg; mine dormant	USD 300–500m cable market; Kilembe revival	R1 — Minerals
Automotive	USD 298.4m vehicles	Negligible	KMC plant opened Sept 2025	KMC 10,000 veh/yr; e-boda assembly	R1 — Minerals
Textiles & Garments	~USD 6.7m garments	USD 11.3m raw cotton	Raw cotton exporter; mills limited	Process 50%+ of lint domestically	R2 — Agro/Light
Pharmaceuticals	USD 263.4m medicines	Small (QCIL regional)	6 WHO-GMP plants; QCIL flagship	USD 0.9–1.2B market; cut import to <50%	R2 — Agro/Light
Petrochemicals & Fertilizers	USD 32.1m fertiliser	—	Refinery pre-2029; Sukulu stalled	1.5–2m tonnes fertiliser demand by 2040	R2 — Agro/Light
Sugar & Confectionery	USD 38.1m industrial sugar	Regional brown sugar	Surplus producer; export ready	Industrial sugar, ethanol, co-gen	R2 — Agro/Light
Plastics & Packaging	USD 37.1m packaging	—	Converters active; resin all imported	Circular plastics + domestic resin (Kabalega)	R2 — Agro/Light
Cement & Building Materials	USD 162.2m clinker	USD 86.0m cement	Exporter; clinker gap closing	Several USD Bn/yr market; regional leader	R2 — Agro/Light

🔗 How The 9 Chains Form One Integrated Industrial System

Minerals → Manufacturing: Iron ore & steel feed Automotive (KMC bus frames ~37,300 t); copper wiring harnesses feed KMC EVs; cobalt feeds EV batteries

Circular flows: Steel slag → cement (SCM); bagasse → grid power; sugar vinasse → bio-fertilizer; plastic waste → cement kilns (alt. fuel)

Petrochemicals unlock Plastics: Kabalega refinery (~2029) → domestic polymer resin → import substitution for USD 37m+ packaging imports

Green advantage: Uganda's hydro grid enables low-carbon steel (scrap-EAF), green ammonia fertiliser, and low-carbon EV buses — a genuine export differentiator

⚠️ Risk Register

Key risks to the Tenfold Growth Strategy, with mitigation and institutional owner. Severity/likelihood are analyst judgement (UNIDO PCP diagnostic), not sourced figures.

Risk	Severity	Likelihood	Mitigation	Owner
FX volatility raises cost of imported machinery and inputs Macroeconomic	High	Medium	Phase capital imports; hedge where feasible; prioritise chains with high local input share	MoFPED / BoU
Grid reliability and access constrain new industrial capacity Infrastructure	High	Medium	Accelerate industrial-zone grid connections; co-generation (bagasse) and captive power options	MEMD / UEDCL
Refinery and petrochemical park delays push back Plastics & Petrochemicals targets Infrastructure	High	Medium	Maintain interim import-substitution incentives; phase plastics targets to refinery timeline	MEMD / Ministry of Energy
Skills gap in technical/engineering roles limits absorption of new industrial capacity Human Capital	Medium	High	Expand TVET partnerships with anchor investors (KMC	QCIL); sector-specific apprenticeships
Access to affordable long-term industrial financing remains limited Financial	High	High	Blended finance facilities; partial credit guarantees for priority value chains	UDB / BoU
Land acquisition and titling delays slow industrial park development Land & Regulatory	Medium	Medium	Fast-track industrial park land titling; dedicated MTIC land desk	MTIC / Ministry of Lands
Raw material import dependency (resin API	Flat Steel) Exposes Chains To Global Price Shocks	Supply Chain	medium	high
Regional competition (Kenya Ethiopia	Vietnam) For The Same Fdi Pool	Competitiveness	medium	medium
Capacity utilisation stagnation if demand-side absorption (local + regional) underperforms Market	Medium	Medium	Strengthen EAC market access; public procurement preference for domestic manufactures	MTIC / EAC Secretariat

🛣️ Investment & Milestone Roadmap

Committed projects and policy horizons plotted chronologically — what happens when, on the way to 2040. Compiled from internal data and current public reporting; verify before citing externally.

Sept 2025 · Automotive

KMC Bus & EV Plant operational

CompleteManufacturing

Output 2,500 vehicles/yr today; target 10,000+/yr by 2040 plus regional EV-bus supply

3 Mar 2025 · Copper & Allied Metals

Kilembe Copper-Cobalt PSA signed

In ProgressMinerals

Sarrai Group + Nile Fibreboard signed the production sharing agreement; mine still dormant pending development capital

Mar 2025 · Petrochemicals & Fertilizers

Kabaale Refinery PSA signed

In ProgressInfrastructure

Alpha MBM Investments (UAE) + UNOC (~40% stake); USD 4bn, 60,000 bpd; first oil expected ~2029-30

2025 · Sugar & Confectionery

Kakira Sugar ethanol plant commissioned

CompleteManufacturing

Shs130bn (~USD 36.6m) plant built with India's Praj Industries; 20 million litres/year fuel-grade ethanol from molasses — feeds the national E5 blending mandate

2025 · Cement & Building Materials

Buikwe clinker plant (West International Holding)

In ProgressManufacturing

USD 200m investment; ~4,000 tonnes/day capacity — part of closing the clinker self-sufficiency gap from <50% toward >90%

Q4 2025 · Petrochemicals & Fertilizers

Kabalega Industrial Park substation & airport

In ProgressInfrastructure

240MW substation under construction; Kabalega International Airport ~95% complete. UNOC has attracted 31 investors across petrochemicals, logistics and agro-processing

~2025 · Pharmaceuticals

Pharma starch plant commissioned

CompleteManufacturing

USD 50m plant for excipient self-reliance, reducing import dependence on raw materials for medicine manufacturing — complements UPMI's new pharma plant pipeline

2025 · Textiles & Garments

Lira Spinning Mill revival proposed

Proposed (unconfirmed)Manufacturing

Lango MPs and President Museveni have called for reviving Africa's former 2nd-largest yarn mill (historical USD 24m + USD 13m Chinese investment); no confirmed new funding as of 2026

2025 · Petrochemicals & Fertilizers

Sukulu Phosphate Plant stalled

StalledMinerals

Guangzhou Dongsong's 100,000 tpa Tororo plant shut 2021, briefly resumed 2023, halted again — the single biggest risk to the 1.5-2m tonne fertiliser demand target

2025-26 · Cement & Building Materials

NE Uganda clinker plant under construction

In ProgressManufacturing

USD 300m investment; >6,000 tonnes/day — Uganda's largest single clinker investment to date

end 2027 · Iron & Steel

Devki Tororo Steel Mill production start

In ProgressManufacturing

USD 500m blast-furnace mill; groundbreaking 23 Nov 2025 attended by Presidents Museveni, Ruto and Kagame; 1 million tonnes/year, ~15,000 direct jobs — Uganda's first domestic flat/long steel production at scale

~2029-30 · Petrochemicals & Fertilizers

Kabaale Refinery first oil

PlannedInfrastructure

Enables domestic fuel and polymer feedstock — unlocks the Plastics & Packaging chain

FY2029/30 · All chains

NDP IV target horizon

Policy MilestonePolicy

Manufacturing share of GDP target 21%; capacity utilisation target 60%

~2031 · Plastics & Packaging

Kabalega Petrochemical Park polymer resin operational

PlannedInfrastructure

Domestic polymer resin ends 100% import dependency on plastics feedstock — park targets USD 5bn/year in throughput

2040 · All chains

Tenfold Growth target horizon

Policy MilestonePolicy

Manufacturing share of GDP target 30%; GDP ~USD 500B; capacity utilisation 80%

Complete In Progress Planned Proposed (unconfirmed) Stalled Policy Milestone

📚 Sources & Methodology

UBOS
Annual GDP estimates (constant 2016/17 prices), national accounts

Bank of Uganda
External trade statistics, private-sector credit by sector

URA
Sector & revenue reports, tax contribution by sector

ERA
Electricity Regulatory Authority — energy sold by customer class

ITC TradeMap
HS-code level import/export figures, used throughout chain status pages

UNIDO PCP Diagnostics
Capacity utilisation, firm-level interviews, field visit observations

● exact Published figure from named source, current period ≈ estimated Derived from interviews, partial data, or analyst projection ○ indicative Order-of-magnitude only — directional, not precise

Last verified: June 2026. Hover any confidence badge for its specific source. No FY24/25 manufacturing employment survey currently exists nationally — flagged as a data gap.